It's been a roller coaster ride trying to capture Fantasy points from the Kansas City Chiefs' backfield, but for as long as he stays healthy we now expect Jerick McKinnon to level out as a Fantasy starter.

For what it's worth, the Chiefs have always treated McKinnon like their most valuable back. He's consistently ranked towards the top in terms of red zone snaps, and third-down snaps, and he's played the most whenever a game was in doubt. But we don't receive Fantasy points for snaps played, so outside of a two-game stretch with six catches, he'd mostly been an afterthought, at least until the last three weeks. 

In Week 13 against the Bengals, McKinnon finally scored his first touchdown, but that was easy enough to ignore because he only had 10 touches and 60 total yards. The following week against the Broncos he saw a season-high 13 touches and turned them into 134 yards and two scores. But even heading into last week's game against the Texans there was some reason for doubt, it looked more like an Isiah Pacheco game. 

A Pacheco fumble changed that and may have changed the fortunes for McKinnon's Fantasy managers. He tied a season-high with a 62% snap share, set a season-high with 18 touches, and again scored two touchdowns. This week, you'll see him as a consensus top-20 running back and a must-start option against the Seattle Seahawks. And if he can keep this up for two more weeks, he may be remembered as a league-winning waiver wire add as well.

Now let's get to the rest of the Week 16 RB Preview:

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Week 16 RB Preview

RB Preview
Who's Out

The following players are not being projected to play in Week 16 at this time. Here's what it means:

Jonathan Taylor RB
IND Indianapolis • #28
Age: 25 • Experience: 5 yrs.
We expect Zack Moss and Deon Jackson to split work fairly evenly
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Numbers to know
  • 145.7 -- Christian McCaffrey is averaging 145 yards from scrimmage in the three games he's played with Brock Purdy.
  • 892 -- Derrick Henry has 892 yards rushing in his last four games against the Texans.
  • 23 -- Alvin Kamara saw 23 touches in Week 15, his most since Week 5. He could top that number in a terrible weather game in Cleveland.
  • 78.6 -- Jerick McKinnon has scored 78.6 PPR Fantasy points over the last three weeks, second only to Christian McCaffrey at running back.
  • 4 -- Najee Harris has four catches, for just 27 yards, over his last four games. He's a much better option in non-PPR.
  • 37% -- Jamaal Williams hasn't played more than 37% of the snaps since Week 12. He only had one game below 37% from Week 3 through Week 12.
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Matchups that matter
Matchups that Matter
Projections powered by Sportsline
Tyler Allgeier RB
ATL Atlanta • #25
Age: 24 • Experience: 3 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ BAL BAL -7.5 O/U 37.5

OPP VS RB

8th

PROJ PTS

7.4

RB RNK

37th

YTD Stats

RUYDS

743

REC

11

REYDS

84

TD

3

FPTS/G

8.9
Alvin Kamara RB
NO New Orleans • #41
Age: 29 • Experience: 8 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ CLE CLE -2.5 O/U 32.5

OPP VS RB

30th

PROJ PTS

14.1

RB RNK

19th

YTD Stats

RUYDS

641

REC

53

REYDS

446

TD

3

FPTS/G

14.3
Joe Mixon RB
HOU Houston • #28
Age: 28 • Experience: 8 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ NE CIN -3.5 O/U 41.5

OPP VS RB

2nd

PROJ PTS

13.5

RB RNK

18th

YTD Stats

RUYDS

722

REC

48

REYDS

357

TD

8

FPTS/G

17
Derrick Henry RB
BAL Baltimore • #22
Age: 30 • Experience: 9 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs HOU TEN -5.5 O/U 37

OPP VS RB

32nd

PROJ PTS

16.5

RB RNK

2nd

YTD Stats

RUYDS

1303

REC

30

REYDS

379

TD

13

FPTS/G

19.5
Jerick McKinnon RB
KC Kansas City • #1
Age: 32 • Experience: 10 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs SEA KC -9.5 O/U 48.5

OPP VS RB

31st

PROJ PTS

12

RB RNK

17th

YTD Stats

RUYDS

274

REC

46

REYDS

429

TD

6

FPTS/G

10.9
Brian Robinson Jr. RB
WAS Washington • #8
Age: 25 • Experience: 3 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ SF SF -7 O/U 39.5

OPP VS RB

1st

PROJ PTS

8.7

RB RNK

34th

YTD Stats

RUYDS

652

REC

9

REYDS

60

TD

3

FPTS/G

9.9
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Waiver Wire Targets
Week 16 Adds (RB Preview)
Zack Moss RB
CIN Cincinnati • #31
Age: 26 • Experience: 5 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs LAC LAC -4 O/U 46.5

OPP VS RB

27th

RB RNK

40th

ROSTERED

31%

YTD Stats

RUYDS

203

REC

7

REYDS

27

TD

0

FPTS/G

2.8
I truly hope you aren't dependent on a waiver wire add at running back this week. But if you are, Moss is likely the best option. He saw 24 carries in Week 15 and faces a Chargers defense that ranks dead last against the run. Still, there's a very low floor here as both Deon Jackson and Jordan Wilkins could possibly eat into Moss's role, or even lead the team in rushing.
Tyler Allgeier RB
ATL Atlanta • #25
Age: 24 • Experience: 3 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ BAL BAL -7.5 O/U 37.5

OPP VS RB

8th

RB RNK

37th

ROSTERED

62%

YTD Stats

RUYDS

743

REC

11

REYDS

84

TD

3

FPTS/G

8.9
If not for an awful matchup against the Ravens, Allgeier would be my favorite running back to add this week. He's played right around half the snaps in four of his past five games and has been very efficient with the touches he's received, averaging five yards per carry and catching 100% of the passes thrown his way. But the Ravens run defense is a juggernaut, so proceed with caution.
Chuba Hubbard RB
CAR Carolina • #30
Age: 25 • Experience: 4 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs DET DET -2.5 O/U 44.5

OPP VS RB

6th

RB RNK

32nd

ROSTERED

46%

YTD Stats

RUYDS

260

REC

11

REYDS

118

TD

2

FPTS/G

4.9
Hubbard has been the better Panthers back each of the past two weeks, but surprisingly the Lions present a difficult challenge. They haven't allowed a running back to score double-digit PPR Fantasy points since Week 7. If one of the Panthers backs is going to break that streak, we'd bet on Hubbard.
Stashes (RB Preview)
Jordan Mason RB
SF San Francisco • #24
Age: 25 • Experience: 3 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs WAS SF -7 O/U 39.5

OPP VS RB

5th

RB RNK

NR

ROSTERED

28%

YTD Stats

RUYDS

217

REC

0

REYDS

0

TD

0

FPTS/G

1.7
Mason is the clear No. 2 behind Christian McCaffrey with Elijah Mitchell out of the picture. We all know McCaffrey's injury history, and Mason now appears to be just one injury away from 15-plus touches per game in an offense that has been even more RB-centric with Brock Purdy at quarterback.
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DFS Plays
Top DFS Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
Christian McCaffrey RB
SF San Francisco • #23
Age: 28 • Experience: 8 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs WAS SF -7 O/U 39.5

OPP VS RB

5th

PROJ PTS

22.1

RB RNK

1st

YTD Stats

RUYDS

927

REC

74

REYDS

623

TD

11

FPTS/G

21.2
If you can find enough value to squeeze in Christian Mccaffrey and Derrick Henry, that would be awesome. But odds are you're going to have to make a choice and I lean ever so slightly to McCaffrey because of his role in this passing game and enormous role since Brock Purdy took over at quarterback.
Contrarian DFS Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
Alvin Kamara RB
NO New Orleans • #41
Age: 29 • Experience: 8 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ CLE CLE -2.5 O/U 32.5

OPP VS RB

30th

PROJ PTS

14.1

RB RNK

19th

YTD Stats

RUYDS

641

REC

53

REYDS

446

TD

3

FPTS/G

14.3
Kamara has not been particularly good lately and this game is threatening to set a record for the lowest over/under in history, but he might also get 30 touches in terrible weather against an awful run defense. If you wanted to face McCaffrey and Henry for a guy below five percent roster rate, Kamara is the choice.
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Heath's Projections