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  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    The Maestro
    TEX -0.5
    -106
    First 5 Innings Run Line
    Picked: Jun 7 @ 1:49pm

    Analysis

    The host Rangers have a starting pitching edge in Sunday's rubber game, with Jacob deGrom facing Cleveland's Joey Cantillo. Texas' veteran ace has fanned 14 while allowing two runs over his past two starts, covering 11 innings; Cantillo has surrendered eight runs over his past two starts, covering six innings. Cantillo's big issue is control: 14 walks in his last 16.2 innings. Look for Texas to lead after five.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    Doug
    player headshot
    L. Castillo
    Over 4.5
    -126
    Hits Allowed
    LOSS
    Picked: Jun 7 @ 8:00am

    Analysis

    DraftKings. This is a low line for Luis Castillo, who after splitting his last three starts with Bryce Miller will receive a standalone outing today. Outside of those three tandem starts, Castillo has allowed at least five hits in 7/9 games. He’s particularly struggled on the road, allowing a .270 average this season and a .300 last year. Dating back to last season, Castillo has allowed at least five hits in 13/17 games. The Tigers should be able to throw more lefties than righties at him (.259 average allowed, .279 xBA), making this a great spot for the over.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    Severance Pays
    player headshot
    S. Alcantara
    Over 17.5
    -136
    Outs Recorded
    WIN
    Picked: Jun 7 @ 11:08am

    Analysis

    Former NL Cy Young winner Sandy Alcantara has made 13 starts this year and gone at least six in 10 of them. His home and day splits are better than the opposites. When Alcantara pitched in St. Pete on May 16 he threw six innings, allowing only an unearned run. I also have U18.5 available and that's tempting but Sandy has gone at least seven innings a few times so that scared me off. If he's not getting hit hard or wild, then six seems likely. The model has him at 6.2 innings. After using seven total pitchers on Saturday, the Marlins could use some length from Alcantara. Rays speedster and usual leadoff hitter Chandler Simpson is out again.
  • expert headshot
    Eric Cohen
    EC
    player headshot
    S. Baz
    Over 17.5
    -138
    Outs Recorded
    LOSS
    Picked: Jun 7 @ 12:47pm

    Analysis

    Shane Baz has been excellent of late for the Orioles, having thrown at least six innings in four consecutive starts (three of them being seven innings pitched). He's thrown at least 94 pitches in 11 consecutive starts and has really helped the Orioles minimize bullpen usage in his recent outings. I expect another long leash for the right hander as the Orioles look to win the road series on Sunday.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +1290.5
    (69%)
    72-33 in Last 105 MLB ML Picks
    ATL
    -146
    Money Line
    WIN
    Picked: Jun 7 @ 2:43am

    Analysis

    The Braves were one of my biggest plays of the season yesterday and came through easily and they are quite cheaply priced yet again. Like many rookie pitchers, Pittsburgh's Bubba Chandler (2-6, 4.89 ERA) has been wildly inconsistent The team is 3-9 in his 12 starts. Also the end of a trip for Pittsburgh. One of its better hitters in Brandon Lowe (15 HR, 41 RBI) may sit after leaving Saturday's loss injured. Atlanta's Bryce Elder is 3-1 with a 2.34 ERA at home and has a 0.48 ERA this year in all day starts.

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