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  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +1431
    (62%)
    69-42-1 in Last 112 NCAAF Picks
    OREG +4.5
    -115
    Spread
    Picked: Jan 4 @ 2:06pm

    Analysis

    Indiana has burned me quite often this year so maybe I should just pass, but it's so hard to beat a really good team twice in one season in this sport. Ask Georgia. Or Alabama (vs. Georgia in the SEC title game). In four of the five total College Football Playoff rematches, the team that lost the earlier matchup came out on top. Indiana can win by 4, though, that's fine by me.
  • expert headshot
    Eric Cohen
    +130
    (60%)
    3-2 in Last 5 NCAAF O/U Picks
    Over 46.5
    -115
    Over/Under
    Picked: Jan 5 @ 11:38am

    Analysis

    I’ve been way off in the College Football Playoff games as evidenced by me liking Texas Tech and Alabama on New Year’s Day. Both of these Big Ten teams were awesome and their defenses looked impenetrable. Indiana shockingly won in Eugene in October, 30-20, so I lean towards Oregon in the rematch. Like Miami, Indiana hasn’t allowed more than 24 points in a game this season, but I have to think that Ducks' OC Will Stein will make the necessary adjustments to succeed. I have continued to doubt the Hoosiers, but their offense led by Heisman Trophy winner Fernando Mendoza is impressive. Either way, I think this one is decided by four points or less, something like 27-24 Ducks.
  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    +495
    (86%)
    6-1 in Last 7 IND ATS Picks
    IND -4
    -108
    Spread
    Picked: Jan 5 @ 5:42pm

    Analysis

    This national semifinal game should probably be the national championship matchup. The storyline from the first meeting was that Oregon only got 81 yards on 30 rushes and was also sacked six times. Indiana took the game over in the 4th quarter, a sign of things to come from head coach Curt Cignetti, who has taken Indiana to a 25-2 record in his two seasons. Cignetti is a stone-cold winner. In this recent era of NIL signings, there is no better example of changing a program into a winner than Cignetti. The SEC had control of the college football landscape, but now the Big Ten is going for its third straight championship. I think Indiana is the team to win from the Big Ten.
  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    Former Vegas Bookmaker
    Over 46.5
    -115
    Over/Under
    Picked: Jan 6 @ 3:10pm

    Analysis

    I'm looking at the Peach Bowl total over 46.5, with Oregon being the key to the game getting over. My thinking is that Indiana will control the tempo, and Oregon's going to have to catch up. Oregon dominated Texas Tech 23-0 last week, but the week before, against James Madison, it was 51-34. They let the Dukes back in. Oregon went 7-7 to the over this season. Indiana went 8-6 to the over, scored 30 points at Oregon on October 11th, and scored 41.6 points a game this season, which was fifth in the nation. Over is the play.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +289
    (80%)
    4-1 in Last 5 NFL Picks
    CAR +10.5
    -120
    Spread
    Picked: Jan 4 @ 11:49pm

    Analysis

    What an incredible Ravens-Steelers finale holy cow. Guess we have to deal with Aaron Rodgers one more week at least. I want to grab the hook on this Saturday game while it's there because I think this is too high even if the Panthers might be one of the worst playoff teams in modern history. Short week for L.A. and it lost in Charlotte, 31-28, in Week 13. Kinda doubt the Rams lose again but certainly believe the Cats can hang within 10.

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